These are the type of matches that will determine whether Arsenal have what it takes to finish in the top four this season, and it should be a fascinating battle on Saturday. Bournemouth were impressive at home last time out against Villa, but we are expecting Arteta's side to claim all three points courtesy of a narrow win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 53.8%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 22.86%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.8%) and 0-2 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 1-0 (6.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result
Bournemouth	Draw	Arsenal
22.86% ( -0.41)	23.34% ( -0.28)	53.8% ( 0.69)

Both teams to score 54.7% (

0.4)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.24% (

0.78)

45.76% (

-0.78)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.92% (

0.74)

68.08% (

-0.73)

Bournemouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.85% (

0.06)

34.15% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.16% (

0.06)

70.84% (

-0.06)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.06% (

0.54)

16.94% (

-0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.99% (

0.94)

47.01% (

-0.94)

Score Analysis

Bournemouth 22.86%

Arsenal 53.8%

Draw 23.34%

Bournemouth	Draw	Arsenal
1-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 5.93% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 3.34% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.17% Total : 22.86%	1-1 @ 11.03% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.34%	0-1 @ 10.27% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 9.8% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 9.12% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 5.8% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 5.4% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 2.57% ( 0.1) 0-4 @ 2.4% ( 0.09) 2-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.06) 1-5 @ 0.91% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.04% Total : 53.8%