SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Chelsea | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Crystal Palace | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Everton | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arsenal | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Aston Villa | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Bournemouth | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 44.33%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 30.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 1-0 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crystal Palace | Draw | Arsenal |
30.16% ( 0.11) | 25.52% ( 0.23) | 44.33% ( -0.34) |
| Both teams to score 54.06% ( -0.69) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.4% ( -0.93) | 49.6% ( 0.93) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.38% ( -0.84) | 71.62% ( 0.84) |
| Crystal Palace Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.61% ( -0.39) | 30.39% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.41% ( -0.47) | 66.59% ( 0.47) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.67% ( -0.55) | 22.33% ( 0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.19% ( -0.83) | 55.81% ( 0.83) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crystal Palace | Draw | Arsenal |
| 1-0 @ 8.08% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 7.22% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.81% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 2.87% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.12% Total : 30.16% | 1-1 @ 12.11% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.25)2-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.51% | 0-1 @ 10.17% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 9.08% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 7.63% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4.54% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 3.81% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 1.7% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.24% Total : 44.32% |
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