SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Tottenham Hotspur | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Bournemouth | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Fulham | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Leicester City | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Liverpool | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 56.97%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Leicester City had a probability of 20.63%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Leicester City win it was 0-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal | Draw | Leicester City |
56.97% ( -0.19) | 22.4% ( 0.08) | 20.63% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 54.65% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.68% ( -0.23) | 44.32% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.31% ( -0.22) | 66.69% ( 0.22) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.67% ( -0.14) | 15.33% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.92% ( -0.26) | 44.08% ( 0.26) |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.54% ( -0.02) | 35.46% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.78% ( -0.02) | 72.22% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal | Draw | Leicester City |
| 1-0 @ 10.19% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 9.56% 3-1 @ 6.2% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 5.98% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.91% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.8% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.57% Total : 56.97% | 1-1 @ 10.56% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.44% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.39% | 0-1 @ 5.64% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.91% Total : 20.63% |
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