SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | CF Montreal | 20 | -1 | 32 |
| 5 | Orlando City | 21 | -4 | 30 |
| 6 | Columbus Crew | 20 | 5 | 29 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arsenal | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Aston Villa | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Bournemouth | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 45.13%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 30.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 2-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Arsenal in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Arsenal.
| Result | ||
| Orlando City | Draw | Arsenal |
30.78% ( 1.11) | 24.09% ( -0.14) | 45.13% ( -0.97) |
| Both teams to score 59.22% ( 1.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57% ( 1.22) | 43% ( -1.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.6% ( 1.2) | 65.4% ( -1.2) |
| Orlando City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.33% ( 1.34) | 26.67% ( -1.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.09% ( 1.75) | 61.91% ( -1.75) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.75% ( 0.09) | 19.24% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.04% ( 0.14) | 50.96% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Orlando City | Draw | Arsenal |
| 2-1 @ 7.39% ( 0.18) 1-0 @ 6.78% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 4.48% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 3.26% ( 0.2)3-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.17)3-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.1)Other @ 3.14% Total : 30.78% | 1-1 @ 11.17% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( 0.17)0-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.28)3-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.08% | 1-2 @ 9.21% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 8.46% ( -0.44)0-2 @ 6.97% ( -0.35)1-3 @ 5.06% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 3.83% ( -0.18)2-3 @ 3.34% ( 0.1)1-4 @ 2.08% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.22% Total : 45.13% |
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