Bournemouth deserve all the plaudits they receive after seeing off Aston Villa on the opening weekend, but a trip to the Etihad is a completely different kettle of fish. Guardiola's champions should have no problem overcoming the Cherries' low block and defence-heavy setup, and the Cherries should be given a harsh welcome back to life with the big boys on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 74.08%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 10.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 3-0 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.71%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 1-2 (3.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 4-0 win for Manchester City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Manchester City.

Result
Manchester City	Draw	Bournemouth
74.08% ( 0.05)	15.07% ( -0.01)	10.84% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 57.24% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.45% (

-0.05)

29.54% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

49.36% (

-0.05)

50.64% (

0.05)

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.2% (

-0)

6.79% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

74.94% (

-0)

25.06% (

Bournemouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.41% (

-0.1)

38.58% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.67% (

-0.09)

75.33% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Manchester City 74.08%

Bournemouth 10.84%

Draw 15.07%

Manchester City	Draw	Bournemouth
2-0 @ 9.48% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( -0) 3-0 @ 8.5% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 8.09% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 5.44% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 3.07% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 2.93% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.39% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.38% ( 0) 6-1 @ 1.31% Other @ 4.27% Total : 74.08%	1-1 @ 6.71% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 2.62% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.22% Total : 15.07%	1-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 2.5% 2-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.19% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.58% Total : 10.84%