SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Bournemouth | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Manchester City | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Newcastle United | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Arsenal | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Bournemouth | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Manchester City | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 74.08%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 10.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 3-0 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.71%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 1-2 (3.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 4-0 win for Manchester City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Manchester City.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City | Draw | Bournemouth |
74.08% ( 0.05) | 15.07% ( -0.01) | 10.84% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 57.24% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.45% ( -0.05) | 29.54% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.36% ( -0.05) | 50.64% ( 0.05) |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.2% ( -0) | 6.79% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 74.94% ( -0) | 25.06% ( 0) |
| Bournemouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.41% ( -0.1) | 38.58% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.67% ( -0.09) | 75.33% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City | Draw | Bournemouth |
| 2-0 @ 9.48% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( -0)3-0 @ 8.5% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 8.09% ( -0)1-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 5.44% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 3.07% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 2.93% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.39% ( -0)6-0 @ 1.38% ( 0)6-1 @ 1.31% Other @ 4.27% Total : 74.08% | 1-1 @ 6.71% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 2.62% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.22% Total : 15.07% | 1-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 2.5% 2-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.19% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.58% Total : 10.84% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 94 | 33 | 61 | 89 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 88 | 43 | 45 | 84 |
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 75 |
| 4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 68 | 33 | 35 | 71 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 75 | 47 | 28 | 67 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 62 |
| 7 | Aston Villa | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 61 |
| 8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 60 |
| 9 | Brentford | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 59 |
| 10 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 52 |
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 45 |
| 12 | Chelsea | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 44 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 58 | -27 | 41 |
| 14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 40 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 39 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 68 | -30 | 38 |
| 17 | Everton | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 36 |
| R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 34 |
| R | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 78 | -30 | 31 |
| R | Southampton | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 25 |
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