Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 40.78%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 33.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 1-0 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.
-0.03) 
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