Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 53.23%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for a Brentford win it was 0-1 (7.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Chelsea | Draw | Brentford |
53.23% ( -0.03) | 24.47% ( 0.02) | 22.3% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 50.43% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.93% ( -0.08) | 51.07% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.08% ( -0.07) | 72.92% ( 0.07) |
Chelsea Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.87% ( -0.04) | 19.13% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.23% ( -0.07) | 50.77% ( 0.06) |
Brentford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.37% ( -0.04) | 37.63% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.59% ( -0.04) | 74.41% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Chelsea | Draw | Brentford |
1-0 @ 11.9% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.85% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.43% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.31% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.24% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 3.02% Total : 53.22% | 1-1 @ 11.63% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.94% Total : 24.47% | 0-1 @ 7.04% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.69% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.44% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.85% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.53% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.63% Total : 22.3% |
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