SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 76.21%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 8.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.53%) and 1-0 (10.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.25%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 0-1 (2.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Chelsea in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Chelsea.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea | Draw | Bournemouth |
76.21% ( 0.5) | 15.25% ( -0.19) | 8.53% ( -0.3) |
| Both teams to score 46.2% ( -0.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.51% ( -0.16) | 38.49% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.22% ( -0.17) | 60.78% ( 0.18) |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.58% ( 0.08) | 8.42% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.74% ( 0.18) | 29.27% ( -0.18) |
| Bournemouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.45% ( -0.8) | 49.55% ( 0.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.65% ( -0.57) | 84.35% ( 0.57) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea | Draw | Bournemouth |
| 2-0 @ 12.77% ( 0.18) 3-0 @ 10.53% ( 0.19)1-0 @ 10.32% ( 0.11)2-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 7.4% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 6.52% ( 0.14)4-1 @ 4.58% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 2.26% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.04)6-0 @ 1.33% ( 0.04)6-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.16% Total : 76.19% | 1-1 @ 7.25% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.68% Total : 15.25% | 0-1 @ 2.93% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.03% Total : 8.53% |
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