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Champions League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Apr 18, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stamford Bridge
RM

Chelsea
0 - 2
Real Madrid


Cucurella (34'), James (50'), Mudryk (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Rodrygo (58', 80')
Militao (22')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chelsea 1-2 Brighton
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 42.68%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 1-0 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
ChelseaDrawReal Madrid
30.73% (-1.119 -1.12) 26.59% (0.367 0.37) 42.68% (0.751 0.75)
Both teams to score 50.95% (-1.602 -1.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.23% (-1.851 -1.85)53.76% (1.851 1.85)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.76% (-1.582 -1.58)75.24% (1.58 1.58)
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.88% (-1.724 -1.72)32.12% (1.722 1.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.4% (-2.003 -2)68.6% (2.002 2)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.05% (-0.44500000000001 -0.45)24.95% (0.445 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.41% (-0.622 -0.62)59.58% (0.62 0.62)
Score Analysis
    Chelsea 30.73%
    Real Madrid 42.68%
    Draw 26.59%
ChelseaDrawReal Madrid
1-0 @ 9.1% (0.231 0.23)
2-1 @ 7.18% (-0.252 -0.25)
2-0 @ 5.17% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-1 @ 2.72% (-0.232 -0.23)
3-0 @ 1.96% (-0.14 -0.14)
3-2 @ 1.89% (-0.187 -0.19)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 30.73%
1-1 @ 12.63% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 8.01% (0.565 0.57)
2-2 @ 4.98% (-0.242 -0.24)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.59%
0-1 @ 11.12% (0.65 0.65)
1-2 @ 8.77%
0-2 @ 7.72% (0.357 0.36)
1-3 @ 4.06% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-3 @ 3.57% (0.121 0.12)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.143 -0.14)
1-4 @ 1.41% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.24% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 42.68%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Chelsea 1-2 Brighton
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Real Madrid 2-0 Chelsea
Wednesday, April 12 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Wolves 1-0 Chelsea
Saturday, April 8 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 0-0 Liverpool
Tuesday, April 4 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 0-2 Aston Villa
Saturday, April 1 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 2-2 Everton
Saturday, March 18 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Cadiz 0-2 Real Madrid
Saturday, April 15 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 2-0 Chelsea
Wednesday, April 12 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Real Madrid 2-3 Villarreal
Saturday, April 8 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Barcelona 0-4 Real Madrid
Wednesday, April 5 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Real Madrid 6-0 Valladolid
Sunday, April 2 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Barcelona 2-1 Real Madrid
Sunday, March 19 at 8pm in La Liga


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