Newcastle's sturdy rearguard will prove quite the upgrade on a flaky Nottingham Forest defence for Bournemouth this weekend, and the Cherries' penchant for conceding goals away from home is apparent. The potential returns of Saint-Maximin and Guimaraes will only benefit the hosts at their St James' Park fortress, and we expect the Magpies to claim a long-awaited win before the international break. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 62.51%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 16.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.21%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 0-1 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle United	Draw	Bournemouth
62.51% ( 0.46)	21.24% ( -0)	16.24% ( -0.47)

Both teams to score 50.25% (

-1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.9% (

-0.82)

46.1% (

0.82)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.6% (

-0.78)

68.4% (

0.78)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.84% (

-0.12)

14.15% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.17% (

-0.24)

41.82% (

0.23)

Bournemouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.54% (

-1.08)

41.45% (

1.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.04% (

-0.97)

77.96% (

0.96)

Score Analysis

Newcastle United 62.51%

Bournemouth 16.24%

Draw 21.24%

Newcastle United	Draw	Bournemouth
1-0 @ 11.47% ( 0.35) 2-0 @ 11.21% ( 0.29) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 6.44% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 3.15% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.11) 5-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.64% Total : 62.51%	1-1 @ 10.1% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.87% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.93% Total : 21.24%	0-1 @ 5.17% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.77% Total : 16.24%