SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 81.83%. A draw had a probability of 11.2% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 6.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.8%) and 3-1 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.87%), while for a Southampton win it was 1-2 (2.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 4-0 win for Manchester City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Manchester City.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City | Draw | Southampton |
81.83% ( -0.03) | 11.24% ( 0.02) | 6.93% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 55.88% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 76.81% ( -0.1) | 23.19% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 57.49% ( -0.13) | 42.51% ( 0.13) |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.79% ( -0.02) | 4.21% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 82.45% ( -0.07) | 17.55% ( 0.06) |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.34% ( -0.07) | 41.66% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.86% ( -0.07) | 78.14% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City | Draw | Southampton |
| 3-0 @ 9.29% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.8% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 8.14% 2-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 7.36% ( 0)4-1 @ 6.44% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 4.66% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 4.08% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.01)7-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)7-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)6-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.98% Total : 81.83% | 1-1 @ 4.87% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.37% ( -0)0-0 @ 1.76% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 11.24% | 1-2 @ 2.13% ( 0) 0-1 @ 1.54% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 2.28% Total : 6.93% |
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