SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 | Southampton | 4 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | Nottingham Forest | 4 | -3 | 4 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Leeds United | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 6 | Chelsea | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 7 | Newcastle United | 4 | 2 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 68.15%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 13.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.75%) and 0-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.6%), while for a Southampton win it was 2-1 (3.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Southampton | Draw | Chelsea |
13.52% ( 0.04) | 18.34% ( 0.06) | 68.15% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 53.31% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.4% ( -0.18) | 38.6% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.1% ( -0.19) | 60.9% ( 0.19) |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.47% ( -0.05) | 40.53% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.87% ( -0.05) | 77.13% ( 0.05) |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.65% ( -0.07) | 10.35% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.16% ( -0.17) | 33.84% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southampton | Draw | Chelsea |
| 2-1 @ 3.88% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 3.79% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.33% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.17% ( 0)Other @ 1.64% Total : 13.52% | 1-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.4% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 18.34% | 0-2 @ 10.79% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 9.75% ( 0.01)0-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 8.16% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 7.37% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 4.62% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 4.18% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 2.1% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 1.89% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.89% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.57% Total : 68.15% |
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