SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Everton | 6 | -2 | 4 |
| 17 | Aston Villa | 6 | -5 | 4 |
| 18 | West Ham United | 6 | -5 | 4 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Newcastle United | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| 12 | Southampton | 6 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 | Bournemouth | 6 | -13 | 7 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 40.48%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Aston Villa in this match.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa | Draw | Southampton |
40.48% ( -0.21) | 26.29% ( 0.05) | 33.22% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 52.77% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.17% ( -0.15) | 51.83% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.41% ( -0.13) | 73.58% ( 0.13) |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.79% ( -0.18) | 25.21% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.05% ( -0.25) | 59.95% ( 0.25) |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.56% ( 0.03) | 29.44% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.56% ( 0.03) | 65.44% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aston Villa | Draw | Southampton |
| 1-0 @ 10.22% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.62% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.05% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.96% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.24% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.5% Total : 40.47% | 1-1 @ 12.5% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.29% | 0-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.65% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 2.47% Total : 33.22% |
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