In the early portion of the season, the Toffees have lacked precision and creativity, among other things, while playing far too passively even against weaker sides like Fleetwood.
Brentford have played at a high tempo through their first three Premier League matches and seem to be quite comfortable defensively in front of their home fans, all of which we believe will propel them to another three points on Saturday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 44.83%. A win for Everton had a probability of 29.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Everton win was 0-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
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