The less said about Brighton's home form the better, but Villa have been far from consistent on the road as well this term, which should make for an intriguing battle against two sides relatively low on confidence.
While Dunk and Webster's returns cannot be understated, the options for change on Villa's bench do favour the visitors, though, and we can envisage the Lions returning to winning ways to close the gap on the top half, but it will not be a cakewalk.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 40.08%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 32.41% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (10.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.
