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FA Cup | Fourth Round
Feb 5, 2022 at 8pm UK
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
BL

Spurs
3 - 1
Brighton

Kane (13', 66'), March (24' og.)
Bentancur (86')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Bissouma (63')
Veltman (57')

We said: Tottenham Hotspur 1-1 Brighton & Hove Albion (Tottenham Hotspur to win 2-1 after extra-time)

Brighton have proven to be a challenging opponent for many teams this campaign, losing only five of their 26 games across all competitions. Spurs may be frustrated at times against the Seagulls, but they should have enough quality in the final third to breach the visitors' backline and edge through a closely-fought encounter after extra-time. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 45.76%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 28.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.

Result
Tottenham HotspurDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
45.76%25.34%28.9%
Both teams to score 53.88%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.5%49.5%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.47%71.53%
Tottenham Hotspur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.37%21.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.25%54.75%
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.76%31.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.41%67.59%
Score Analysis
    Tottenham Hotspur 45.75%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 28.9%
    Draw 25.34%
Tottenham HotspurDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
1-0 @ 10.34%
2-1 @ 9.22%
2-0 @ 7.92%
3-1 @ 4.7%
3-0 @ 4.04%
3-2 @ 2.74%
4-1 @ 1.8%
4-0 @ 1.55%
4-2 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 45.75%
1-1 @ 12.03%
0-0 @ 6.76%
2-2 @ 5.36%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.34%
0-1 @ 7.86%
1-2 @ 7%
0-2 @ 4.57%
1-3 @ 2.72%
2-3 @ 2.08%
0-3 @ 1.77%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 28.9%

Read more!
Read more!


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