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Premier League | Gameweek 18
Feb 15, 2022 at 8.15pm UK
Old Trafford
BL

Man Utd
2 - 0
Brighton

Ronaldo (51'), Fernandes (90+7')
Fernandes (53'), Shaw (72'), McTominay (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Mac Allister (85')
Dunk (54')

We said: Manchester United 2-1 Brighton & Hove Albion

It is difficult to back Man United to keep a clean sheet at the moment, and we are expecting Brighton to score on Tuesday night. That said, the Red Devils are in desperate need of a victory, and we believe that the home side will somehow navigate their way to a hugely important three points against Potter's team, moving into fourth spot in the table in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 49.23%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 25.8% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.

Result
Manchester UnitedDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
49.23%24.97%25.8%
Both teams to score 52.69%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.05%49.95%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.07%71.93%
Manchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.69%20.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.32%52.68%
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.12%33.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.44%70.56%
Score Analysis
    Manchester United 49.23%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 25.8%
    Draw 24.97%
Manchester UnitedDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
1-0 @ 10.97%
2-1 @ 9.46%
2-0 @ 8.74%
3-1 @ 5.03%
3-0 @ 4.65%
3-2 @ 2.72%
4-1 @ 2%
4-0 @ 1.85%
4-2 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 49.23%
1-1 @ 11.87%
0-0 @ 6.88%
2-2 @ 5.12%
3-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.97%
0-1 @ 7.45%
1-2 @ 6.42%
0-2 @ 4.03%
1-3 @ 2.32%
2-3 @ 1.85%
0-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 25.8%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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