We said: Aston Villa 1-2 Manchester United
This is a very tough match for Man United, and Villa will be confident after their impressive performance on Monday night. The Red Devils have such a strong record at Villa Park, though, and when taking into account Villa's recent form, we are backing the visitors to navigate their way to a huge three points here.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 56.82%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 20.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.72%) and 0-2 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.4%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 2-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
