Brighton have been a very difficult team to beat in the Premier League this season, and this has all of the makings of a tough fixture for a wounded Chelsea. The Seagulls are more than capable of picking up a positive result, but we just have a feeling that the Blues will navigate their way to an important three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 47.29%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 26.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (8.71%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
Brighton & Hove Albion	Draw	Chelsea
26.77%	25.93%	47.29%

Both teams to score 50.56%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.87%

53.12%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.3%

74.7%

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.2%

34.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.47%

71.52%

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.54%

22.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.99%

56%

Score Analysis

Brighton & Hove Albion 26.77%

Chelsea 47.29%

Draw 25.93%

Brighton & Hove Albion	Draw	Chelsea
1-0 @ 8.25% 2-1 @ 6.5% 2-0 @ 4.36% 3-1 @ 2.29% 3-2 @ 1.71% 3-0 @ 1.53% Other @ 2.13% Total : 26.77%	1-1 @ 12.32% 0-0 @ 7.81% 2-2 @ 4.86% Other @ 0.94% Total : 25.93%	0-1 @ 11.67% 1-2 @ 9.2% 0-2 @ 8.71% 1-3 @ 4.58% 0-3 @ 4.34% 2-3 @ 2.42% 1-4 @ 1.71% 0-4 @ 1.62% 2-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.14% Total : 47.29%