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Premier League | Gameweek 16
Dec 9, 2023 at 3pm UK
The American Express Community Stadium
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Brighton
1 - 1
Burnley

Adingra (77')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Odobert (45')
O'Shea (14'), Taylor (66'), Odobert (72'), Redmond (86')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wolves 1-0 Burnley
Tuesday, December 5 at 7.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 67.7%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 13.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 1-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.6%), while for a Burnley win it was 1-2 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawBurnley
67.7% (-0.212 -0.21) 18.41% (0.206 0.21) 13.89% (0.0039999999999996 0)
Both teams to score 54.12% (-0.759 -0.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.93% (-0.987 -0.99)38.07% (0.985 0.98)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.67% (-1.061 -1.06)60.33% (1.058 1.06)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.68% (-0.321 -0.32)10.32% (0.3191 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.24% (-0.73399999999999 -0.73)33.75% (0.732 0.73)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.35% (-0.629 -0.63)39.65% (0.627 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.67% (-0.589 -0.59)76.32% (0.587 0.59)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 67.7%
    Burnley 13.89%
    Draw 18.41%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawBurnley
2-0 @ 10.55% (0.21 0.21)
2-1 @ 9.76% (0.028 0.03)
1-0 @ 9.29% (0.308 0.31)
3-0 @ 7.99% (0.049 0.05)
3-1 @ 7.39% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
4-0 @ 4.54% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
4-1 @ 4.2% (-0.106 -0.11)
3-2 @ 3.42% (-0.097 -0.1)
5-0 @ 2.06% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.94% (-0.083 -0.08)
5-1 @ 1.91% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 4.66%
Total : 67.7%
1-1 @ 8.6% (0.142 0.14)
2-2 @ 4.52% (-0.065 -0.07)
0-0 @ 4.09% (0.19 0.19)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 18.41%
1-2 @ 3.98% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-1 @ 3.79% (0.114 0.11)
0-2 @ 1.75% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.39% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.23% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 13.89%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Brighton 2-1 Brentford
Wednesday, December 6 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 3-2 Brighton
Sunday, December 3 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: AEK Athens 0-1 Brighton
Thursday, November 30 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 2-3 Brighton
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 1-1 Sheff Utd
Sunday, November 12 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Ajax 0-2 Brighton
Thursday, November 9 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Wolves 1-0 Burnley
Tuesday, December 5 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Burnley 5-0 Sheff Utd
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Burnley 1-2 West Ham
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 3-1 Burnley
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Burnley 0-2 Crystal Palace
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Everton 3-0 Burnley
Wednesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup


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