Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 44.57%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 31.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Crystal Palace would win this match.