SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 40.15%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 36.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.79%) and 2-0 (5.55%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
40.15% ( -2.13) | 23.48% ( 0.07) | 36.36% ( 2.06) |
| Both teams to score 63.34% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.59% ( 0.04) | 38.4% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.31% ( 0.05) | 60.69% ( -0.05) |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.49% ( -0.91) | 19.5% ( 0.91) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.61% ( -1.52) | 51.38% ( 1.51) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.68% ( 1.09) | 21.31% ( -1.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.74% ( 1.66) | 54.25% ( -1.67) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
| 2-1 @ 8.58% ( -0.24) 1-0 @ 6.79% ( -0.21)2-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.34)3-1 @ 4.68% ( -0.27)3-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 3.03% ( -0.28)4-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.17)4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.16)Other @ 3.28% Total : 40.15% | 1-1 @ 10.5% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.64% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 4.16% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.48% | 1-2 @ 8.12% ( 0.28) 0-1 @ 6.43% ( 0.19)0-2 @ 4.97% ( 0.31)1-3 @ 4.18% ( 0.27)2-3 @ 3.42% ( 0.13)0-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.24)1-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.16)2-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.09)0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.12)Other @ 2.76% Total : 36.36% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
