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Premier League | Gameweek 13
Nov 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
The City Ground
BL

Nott'm Forest
2 - 3
Brighton

Elanga (3'), Gibbs-White (76' pen.)
Toffolo (54'), Niakhate (74')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Ferguson (26'), Pedro (45+4', 58' pen.)
Adingra (65'), Dunk (72'), Ferguson (74'), Verbruggen (82'), Buonanotte (90+4')
Dunk (73')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Ham 3-2 Nott'm Forest
Sunday, November 12 at 2pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 46.91%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 2-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Nottingham ForestDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
29.1% (-0.225 -0.23) 23.99% (-0.101 -0.1) 46.91% (0.328 0.33)
Both teams to score 58.54% (0.2 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.55% (0.33000000000001 0.33)43.44% (-0.329 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.16% (0.324 0.32)65.84% (-0.321 -0.32)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72% (0.013000000000005 0.01)28% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.35% (0.017000000000003 0.02)63.65% (-0.014999999999993 -0.01)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.31% (0.264 0.26)18.69% (-0.262 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.97% (0.44 0.44)50.03% (-0.438 -0.44)
Score Analysis
    Nottingham Forest 29.1%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 46.91%
    Draw 23.99%
Nottingham ForestDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 7.11% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-0 @ 6.66% (-0.094 -0.09)
2-0 @ 4.24% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-1 @ 3.02% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.53% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.8% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-1 @ 0.96% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 29.1%
1-1 @ 11.17% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.96% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.23% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.42% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.99%
1-2 @ 9.37% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
0-1 @ 8.78% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
0-2 @ 7.36% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 5.24% (0.058 0.06)
0-3 @ 4.12% (0.043 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.33% (0.038 0.04)
1-4 @ 2.2% (0.042 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.73% (0.033 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.4% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 46.91%

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Form Guide
Last Game: West Ham 3-2 Nott'm Forest
Sunday, November 12 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 2-0 Aston Villa
Sunday, November 5 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 3-0 Nott'm Forest
Sunday, October 29 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 2-2 Luton
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Crystal Palace 0-0 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, October 7 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 1-1 Brentford
Sunday, October 1 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 1-1 Sheff Utd
Sunday, November 12 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Ajax 0-2 Brighton
Thursday, November 9 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Everton 1-1 Brighton
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 1-1 Fulham
Sunday, October 29 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 2-0 Ajax
Thursday, October 26 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Man City 2-1 Brighton
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Premier League


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