SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 35.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Everton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Everton | Draw | Burnley |
38.94% ( 0) | 25.88% ( 0.01) | 35.18% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 54.52% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.24% ( -0.06) | 49.75% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.24% ( -0.05) | 71.76% ( 0.06) |
| Everton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.91% ( -0.03) | 25.09% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.22% ( -0.04) | 59.78% ( 0.04) |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.78% ( -0.04) | 27.21% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.36% ( -0.05) | 62.63% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Everton | Draw | Burnley |
| 1-0 @ 9.44% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.5% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.53% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.92% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.01% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 2.61% Total : 38.94% | 1-1 @ 12.28% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.87% | 0-1 @ 8.89% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.78% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.47% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.51% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.4% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 3.01% Total : 35.18% |
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