The visit of a Nottingham Forest side whose attacking struggles away from home are well-documented spells optimism for De Zerbi, who ought to be feeling confident about his chances of posting a first win as Seagulls boss at the fourth attempt.
Brighton were not without their opportunities at the Brentford Community Stadium - Raya was simply having a blinder on the day - and we are backing the Seagulls to dust themselves down and prolong the Tricky Trees' misery on the road with all three points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 64.06%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 14.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.64%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
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