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Premier League | Gameweek 11
Oct 14, 2022 at 8pm UK
Brentford Community Stadium
BL

Brentford
2 - 0
Brighton

Toney (27', 64' pen.)
Frank (44'), Jensen (45+1'), Baptiste (90+2'), Toney (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

De Zerbi (44'), Caicedo (45+2')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newcastle 5-1 Brentford
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in Premier League

We said: Brentford 1-2 Brighton & Hove Albion

Brentford have fared better on home soil so far this term, but they come up against a Brighton outfit who have lost only two of their last 13 Premier League games. We can see De Zerbi's attackers taking advantage of Brentford's leaky backline, with the Italian securing his first win as head coach of the Seagulls. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 42.15%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Brentford win was 1-0 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
BrentfordDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
32.21% (-0.32599999999999 -0.33) 25.64% (-0.11 -0.11) 42.15% (0.436 0.44)
Both teams to score 54.58% (0.25 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.65% (0.375 0.38)49.35% (-0.373 -0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.6% (0.335 0.34)71.4% (-0.33399999999999 -0.33)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.12% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)28.87% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.25% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)64.74% (0.035000000000011 0.04)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.73% (0.381 0.38)23.26% (-0.38 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.81% (0.552 0.55)57.18% (-0.552 -0.55)
Score Analysis
    Brentford 32.21%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 42.15%
    Draw 25.63%
BrentfordDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
1-0 @ 8.34% (-0.134 -0.13)
2-1 @ 7.56% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.18% (-0.087999999999999 -0.09)
3-1 @ 3.13% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.28% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.15% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-1 @ 0.97% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 32.21%
1-1 @ 12.16% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 6.72% (-0.103 -0.1)
2-2 @ 5.51% (0.031 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.63%
0-1 @ 9.8% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.87% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
0-2 @ 7.14% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-3 @ 4.31% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
0-3 @ 3.47% (0.063 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.68% (0.045 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.57% (0.044 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.27% (0.037 0.04)
2-4 @ 0.98% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 42.15%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Newcastle 5-1 Brentford
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bournemouth 0-0 Brentford
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 0-3 Arsenal
Sunday, September 18 at 12pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 5-2 Leeds
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Crystal Palace 1-1 Brentford
Tuesday, August 30 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 1-1 Everton
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 0-1 Spurs
Saturday, October 8 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 3-3 Brighton
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 5-2 Leicester
Sunday, September 4 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Fulham 2-1 Brighton
Tuesday, August 30 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 1-0 Leeds
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Forest Green 0-3 Brighton
Wednesday, August 24 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup


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