SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 42.23%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 33.79% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.71%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Brentford win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Burnley in this match.
| Result | ||
| Burnley | Draw | Brentford |
42.23% ( 0.36) | 23.98% ( 0.13) | 33.79% ( -0.49) |
| Both teams to score 60.9% ( -0.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.66% ( -0.76) | 41.34% ( 0.76) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.26% ( -0.77) | 63.73% ( 0.77) |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.18% ( -0.16) | 19.81% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.11% ( -0.26) | 51.89% ( 0.26) |
| Brentford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.95% ( -0.63) | 24.04% ( 0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.69% ( -0.91) | 58.31% ( 0.91) |
| Score Analysis |
| Burnley | Draw | Brentford |
| 2-1 @ 8.9% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.23)2-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 4.8% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 3.37% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.94% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.1% Total : 42.23% | 1-1 @ 10.99% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.16)3-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.98% | 1-2 @ 7.83% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 6.79% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.72% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.89% Total : 33.79% |
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