SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 44.99%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 31.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.1%) and 0-2 (6.24%). The likeliest Brentford win was 2-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Brentford | Draw | Chelsea |
31.9% ( 0.03) | 23.1% ( -0.01) | 44.99% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 63.39% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.23% ( 0.04) | 37.77% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.98% ( 0.05) | 60.02% ( -0.05) |
| Brentford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.57% ( 0.04) | 23.43% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.57% ( 0.06) | 57.42% ( -0.06) |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.78% ( 0.01) | 17.22% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.49% ( 0.01) | 47.51% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brentford | Draw | Chelsea |
| 2-1 @ 7.47% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.85% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.25% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.62% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.06% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.31% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0)Other @ 3.01% Total : 31.9% | 1-1 @ 10.29% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.57% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.03% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.87% ( 0)Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.09% | 1-2 @ 9.06% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.1% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.31% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.86% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.66% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.34% 2-4 @ 1.7% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.61% ( -0)Other @ 4.13% Total : 44.99% |
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