Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 76.64%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.67%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.65%), while for a Brentford win it was 1-2 (2.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.
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