SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 76.64%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.67%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.65%), while for a Brentford win it was 1-2 (2.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal | Draw | Brentford |
76.64% ( 0.01) | 14.36% ( -0) | 9% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 52.17% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.9% ( 0.02) | 32.1% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.32% ( 0.02) | 53.68% ( -0.02) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.12% ( 0) | 6.87% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.72% ( 0.01) | 25.27% ( -0.02) |
| Brentford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.02% ( 0) | 43.97% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.9% ( 0) | 80.1% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal | Draw | Brentford |
| 2-0 @ 10.83% 3-0 @ 9.67% ( -0)2-1 @ 8.9% ( -0)1-0 @ 8.09% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.95% ( 0)4-0 @ 6.47% ( 0)4-1 @ 5.32% ( 0)5-0 @ 3.47% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.26% ( 0)5-1 @ 2.85% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.19% ( 0)6-0 @ 1.55% ( 0)6-1 @ 1.27% ( 0)5-2 @ 1.17% ( 0)Other @ 3.66% Total : 76.64% | 1-1 @ 6.65% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.66% 0-0 @ 3.02% ( -0)Other @ 1.03% Total : 14.36% | 1-2 @ 2.73% ( -0) 0-1 @ 2.48% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.02% ( -0)2-3 @ 1% Other @ 1.76% Total : 9% |
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