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Premier League | Gameweek 28
Mar 9, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Emirates Stadium
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Arsenal
2 - 1
Brentford

Rice (19'), Havertz (86')
Magalhaes (10'), Havertz (45+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Wissa (45+4')
Onyeka (4'), Jorgensen (21'), Wissa (72'), Collins (90+9')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brentford 2-2 Chelsea
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 76.64%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.67%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.65%), while for a Brentford win it was 1-2 (2.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result
ArsenalDrawBrentford
76.64% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 14.36% (-0.0039999999999996 -0) 9% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
Both teams to score 52.17% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.9% (0.016999999999996 0.02)32.1% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.32% (0.018999999999998 0.02)53.68% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)6.87% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.72% (0.012 0.01)25.27% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.02% (0.0039999999999978 0)43.97% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.9% (0.0040000000000013 0)80.1% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal 76.64%
    Brentford 9%
    Draw 14.36%
ArsenalDrawBrentford
2-0 @ 10.83%
3-0 @ 9.67% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 8.9% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.09% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.95% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 6.47% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 5.32% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-0 @ 3.47% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 3.26% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 2.85% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 2.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
6-0 @ 1.55% (0.00099999999999989 0)
6-1 @ 1.27% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-2 @ 1.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 76.64%
1-1 @ 6.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 3.66%
0-0 @ 3.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.03%
Total : 14.36%
1-2 @ 2.73% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 2.48% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 1.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1%
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 9%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Sheff Utd 0-6 Arsenal
Monday, March 4 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 4-1 Newcastle
Saturday, February 24 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Porto 1-0 Arsenal
Wednesday, February 21 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Burnley 0-5 Arsenal
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: West Ham 0-6 Arsenal
Sunday, February 11 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 3-1 Liverpool
Sunday, February 4 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 2-2 Chelsea
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: West Ham 4-2 Brentford
Monday, February 26 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 1-0 Brentford
Tuesday, February 20 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 1-4 Liverpool
Saturday, February 17 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Wolves 0-2 Brentford
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 1-3 Man City
Monday, February 5 at 8pm in Premier League


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