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Premier League | Gameweek 29
Mar 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
Brentford Community Stadium
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Brentford
2 - 0
Burnley

Toney (85', 90+4' pen.)
Toney (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Tarkowski (89')
Collins (90+2')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brentford 1-2 Leeds
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League
Last Game: Burnley 1-2 Newcastle
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

We said: Brentford 1-1 Burnley

A closely-fought contest is set to be played out at the Brentford Community Stadium, though both sides will fancy their chances of claiming maximum points. Burnley are unbeaten in their last three away games, including two in London against Arsenal and Crystal Palace, and we can see them securing at least a point on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 46.85%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.11%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.67%), while for a Burnley win it was 0-1 (9%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.

Result
BrentfordDrawBurnley
46.85%26.96%26.2%
Both teams to score 47.16%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.68%57.32%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.85%78.15%
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.53%24.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.07%58.93%
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.44%37.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.66%74.34%
Score Analysis
    Brentford 46.85%
    Burnley 26.2%
    Draw 26.96%
BrentfordDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 12.94%
2-0 @ 9.11%
2-1 @ 8.92%
3-0 @ 4.27%
3-1 @ 4.18%
3-2 @ 2.05%
4-0 @ 1.5%
4-1 @ 1.47%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 46.85%
1-1 @ 12.67%
0-0 @ 9.19%
2-2 @ 4.37%
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 26.96%
0-1 @ 9%
1-2 @ 6.2%
0-2 @ 4.41%
1-3 @ 2.03%
0-3 @ 1.44%
2-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 26.2%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Norwich 1-3 Brentford
Saturday, March 5 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 0-2 Newcastle
Saturday, February 26 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 2-1 Brentford
Saturday, February 19 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 0-0 Crystal Palace
Saturday, February 12 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 2-0 Brentford
Wednesday, February 9 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Last Game: Everton 4-1 Brentford
Saturday, February 5 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Burnley 0-4 Chelsea
Saturday, March 5 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Burnley 0-2 Leicester
Tuesday, March 1 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Last Game: Crystal Palace 1-1 Burnley
Saturday, February 26 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Burnley 1-0 Spurs
Wednesday, February 23 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 0-3 Burnley
Saturday, February 19 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Burnley 0-1 Liverpool
Sunday, February 13 at 2pm in Premier League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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