SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 42.13%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 31.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Brentford win was 1-0 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brentford | Draw | Burnley |
31.55% ( -0.04) | 26.32% ( -0.03) | 42.13% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 52.12% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.59% ( 0.11) | 52.41% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.91% ( 0.1) | 74.09% ( -0.1) |
| Brentford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.15% ( 0.04) | 30.85% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.87% ( 0.04) | 67.13% ( -0.04) |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.37% ( 0.09) | 24.62% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.86% ( 0.12) | 59.13% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brentford | Draw | Burnley |
| 1-0 @ 8.93% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.36% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.25% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.89% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.06% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.03% Total : 31.55% | 1-1 @ 12.52% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.6% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.16% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.32% | 0-1 @ 10.64% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.77% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.46% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.1% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.49% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.6% Total : 42.12% |
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