SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 65.6%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 15.97%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.96%) and 1-0 (7.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.24%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 1-2 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
65.6% ( 0) | 18.43% ( -0) | 15.97% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 59.67% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.5% ( 0.04) | 33.5% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.71% ( 0.04) | 55.3% ( -0.03) |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.43% ( 0.01) | 9.57% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.97% ( 0.02) | 32.03% ( -0.02) |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.99% ( 0.03) | 34.01% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.31% ( 0.03) | 70.69% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aston Villa | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
| 2-1 @ 9.67% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.96% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 7.64% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.56% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.01% ( -0)4-1 @ 4.43% ( 0)4-0 @ 4.11% 3-2 @ 4.08% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.39% ( 0)5-1 @ 2.08% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.93% 5-2 @ 1.12% ( 0)Other @ 4.62% Total : 65.6% | 1-1 @ 8.24% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.21% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.26% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.47% ( 0)Other @ 0.26% Total : 18.43% | 1-2 @ 4.44% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.51% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.89% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.6% ( 0)Other @ 2.66% Total : 15.97% |
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