SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 62.74%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 18.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.37%) and 3-1 (7.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.46%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 1-2 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
62.74% ( -0.01) | 19.19% ( 0) | 18.07% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 61.52% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.79% ( -0.03) | 33.21% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.03% ( -0.03) | 54.96% ( 0.03) |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.82% ( -0.01) | 10.18% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.57% ( -0.02) | 33.43% ( 0.02) |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.49% ( -0.02) | 31.51% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.1% ( -0.03) | 67.9% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle United | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
| 2-1 @ 9.67% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.37% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.37% ( -0)1-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.38% ( 0)3-2 @ 4.25% ( -0)4-1 @ 4.21% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.64% 4-2 @ 2.43% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.92% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.67% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.11% ( -0)4-3 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 3.46% Total : 62.74% | 1-1 @ 8.46% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.21% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.64% ( -0)Other @ 0.3% Total : 19.19% | 1-2 @ 4.89% 0-1 @ 3.7% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.14% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.88% ( -0)Other @ 3.31% Total : 18.07% |
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