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Premier League | Gameweek 24
Feb 15, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stamford Bridge
NL

Chelsea
2 - 0
Newcastle

Giroud (31'), Werner (39')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 77.56%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 7.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.95%) and 1-0 (10.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.96%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 0-1 (2.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Chelsea in this match.

Result
ChelseaDrawNewcastle United
77.56%14.63%7.81%
Both teams to score 45.05%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.89%38.11%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.62%60.38%
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.97%8.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.71%28.29%
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.98%51.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.65%85.35%
Score Analysis
    Chelsea 77.55%
    Newcastle United 7.81%
    Draw 14.63%
ChelseaDrawNewcastle United
2-0 @ 13.03%
3-0 @ 10.95%
1-0 @ 10.33%
2-1 @ 8.77%
3-1 @ 7.37%
4-0 @ 6.91%
4-1 @ 4.65%
5-0 @ 3.48%
3-2 @ 2.48%
5-1 @ 2.35%
4-2 @ 1.56%
6-0 @ 1.46%
6-1 @ 0.99%
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 77.55%
1-1 @ 6.96%
0-0 @ 4.1%
2-2 @ 2.95%
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 14.63%
0-1 @ 2.76%
1-2 @ 2.34%
0-2 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 7.81%

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