Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 53.13%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 24.3% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.71%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 2-1 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Chelsea | Draw | Manchester City |
24.3% (![]() | 22.58% (![]() | 53.13% (![]() |
Both teams to score 59.03% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.17% (![]() | 40.83% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.78% (![]() | 63.22% (![]() |
Chelsea Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.78% (![]() | 30.22% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.62% (![]() | 66.38% (![]() |
Manchester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.59% (![]() | 15.41% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.78% (![]() | 44.22% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Chelsea | Draw | Manchester City |
2-1 @ 6.24% (![]() 1-0 @ 5.57% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.33% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.49% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.33% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.33% ( ![]() Other @ 3.01% Total : 24.3% | 1-1 @ 10.42% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.83% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.66% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.45% ( ![]() Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.58% | 1-2 @ 9.75% (![]() 0-1 @ 8.71% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 8.14% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 6.08% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 5.08% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.64% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.84% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 2.37% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.7% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.06% ( ![]() Other @ 3.76% Total : 53.13% |
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