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Premier League | Gameweek 12
Nov 12, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Stamford Bridge
MC

Chelsea
4 - 4
Man City

Silva (29'), Sterling (37'), Jackson (67'), Palmer (90+5' pen.)
Cucurella (21'), Palmer (23'), Caicedo (60'), Jackson (90+4'), Sterling (90+7'), Pochettino (90+11')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Haaland (25' pen., 47'), Akanji (45+1'), Rodri (86')
Doku (56'), Rodri (72'), Grealish (90+4')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spurs 1-4 Chelsea
Monday, November 6 at 8pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 53.13%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 24.3% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.71%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 2-1 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
ChelseaDrawManchester City
24.3% (0.020000000000003 0.02) 22.58% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06) 53.13% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 59.03% (0.219 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.17% (0.276 0.28)40.83% (-0.275 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.78% (0.283 0.28)63.22% (-0.282 -0.28)
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.78% (0.167 0.17)30.22% (-0.166 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.62% (0.198 0.2)66.38% (-0.197 -0.2)
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.59% (0.11099999999999 0.11)15.41% (-0.111 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.78% (0.207 0.21)44.22% (-0.207 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Chelsea 24.3%
    Manchester City 53.13%
    Draw 22.58%
ChelseaDrawManchester City
2-1 @ 6.24% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 5.57% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-0 @ 3.33% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.49% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.33% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.33% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 24.3%
1-1 @ 10.42% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.83% (0.024 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.66% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.45% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.58%
1-2 @ 9.75% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
0-1 @ 8.71% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-2 @ 8.14% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
1-3 @ 6.08% (0.021 0.02)
0-3 @ 5.08% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.64% (0.028 0.03)
1-4 @ 2.84% (0.02 0.02)
0-4 @ 2.37% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.7% (0.02 0.02)
1-5 @ 1.06% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 53.13%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Spurs 1-4 Chelsea
Monday, November 6 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 2-0 Blackburn
Wednesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Chelsea 0-2 Brentford
Saturday, October 28 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 2-2 Arsenal
Saturday, October 21 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Burnley 1-4 Chelsea
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Fulham 0-2 Chelsea
Monday, October 2 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 3-0 Young Boys
Tuesday, November 7 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Man City 6-1 Bournemouth
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 0-3 Man City
Sunday, October 29 at 3.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Young Boys 1-3 Man City
Wednesday, October 25 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Man City 2-1 Brighton
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 1-0 Man City
Sunday, October 8 at 4.30pm in Premier League


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