Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 42.38%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 33.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Tottenham Hotspur | Draw | Chelsea |
42.38% ( 2.3) | 24.46% ( -0.13) | 33.16% ( -2.17) |
Both teams to score 58.96% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.21% ( 0.13) | 43.79% ( -0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.82% ( 0.13) | 66.18% ( -0.13) |
Tottenham Hotspur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.23% ( 1.14) | 20.78% ( -1.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.58% ( 1.76) | 53.42% ( -1.76) |
Chelsea Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.42% ( -1.19) | 25.58% ( 1.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.55% ( -1.65) | 60.45% ( 1.65) |
Score Analysis |
Tottenham Hotspur | Draw | Chelsea |
2-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.26) 1-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.4) 3-1 @ 4.69% ( 0.29) 3-0 @ 3.44% ( 0.32) 3-2 @ 3.19% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 1.84% ( 0.17) 4-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.17) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.76% Total : 42.38% | 1-1 @ 11.38% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.31% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.46% | 1-2 @ 7.76% ( -0.32) 0-1 @ 7.25% ( -0.3) 0-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.38) 1-3 @ 3.53% ( -0.27) 2-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.26) 1-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.14) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.52% Total : 33.16% |
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