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Premier League | Gameweek 13
Nov 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
St. James' Park
CL

Newcastle
4 - 1
Chelsea

Isak (13'), Lascelles (60'), Joelinton (61'), Gordon (83')
Trippier (22'), Joelinton (45+3'), Lascelles (46'), Ritchie (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sterling (23')
Ugochukwu (41'), James (55'), Sterling (59'), Cucurella (77'), Colwill (81')
James (73')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chelsea 4-4 Man City
Sunday, November 12 at 4.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 41.71%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 32.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 0-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawChelsea
41.71% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03) 25.43% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 32.86% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 55.5% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.74% (0.012999999999998 0.01)48.26% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.59% (0.011999999999997 0.01)70.41% (-0.012 -0.01)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)23% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.19% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)56.81% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.08% (0.022999999999996 0.02)27.92% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.45% (0.029000000000003 0.03)63.55% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 41.71%
    Chelsea 32.86%
    Draw 25.43%
Newcastle UnitedDrawChelsea
1-0 @ 9.44% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.85% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 6.94% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.33% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 3.4% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.76%
4-1 @ 1.59% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.25% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 41.71%
1-1 @ 12.04%
0-0 @ 6.42% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 5.64% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.43%
0-1 @ 8.2% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 7.68% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 5.23% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 3.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.4% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 2.22% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-4 @ 1.04% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 32.86%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Bournemouth 2-0 Newcastle
Saturday, November 11 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Dortmund 2-0 Newcastle
Tuesday, November 7 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Newcastle 1-0 Arsenal
Saturday, November 4 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 0-3 Newcastle
Wednesday, November 1 at 8.15pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Wolves 2-2 Newcastle
Saturday, October 28 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 0-1 Dortmund
Wednesday, October 25 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Chelsea 4-4 Man City
Sunday, November 12 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Spurs 1-4 Chelsea
Monday, November 6 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 2-0 Blackburn
Wednesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Chelsea 0-2 Brentford
Saturday, October 28 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 2-2 Arsenal
Saturday, October 21 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Burnley 1-4 Chelsea
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Premier League


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