SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 48.56%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 28.76% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.34%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 1-2 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Manchester United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United | Draw | Chelsea |
48.56% ( 0.22) | 22.68% ( 0.02) | 28.76% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 62.99% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.52% ( -0.27) | 37.48% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.3% ( -0.29) | 59.7% ( 0.3) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.22% ( -0.02) | 15.78% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.09% ( -0.04) | 44.91% ( 0.05) |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.79% ( -0.29) | 25.21% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.05% ( -0.4) | 59.95% ( 0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United | Draw | Chelsea |
| 2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 6.78% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 5.75% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.96% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.66% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 3.81% Total : 48.56% | 1-1 @ 10.12% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.44% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 3.98% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.32% Total : 22.68% | 1-2 @ 6.97% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.48% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.52% Total : 28.76% |
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