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Premier League | Gameweek 15
Dec 6, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
Old Trafford
CL

Man Utd
2 - 1
Chelsea

McTominay (19', 69')
Shaw (14'), Garnacho (22'), Dalot (82'), Reguilon (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Palmer (45')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chelsea 3-2 Brighton
Sunday, December 3 at 2pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 48.56%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 28.76% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.34%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 1-2 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Manchester United in this match.

Result
Manchester UnitedDrawChelsea
48.56% (0.217 0.22) 22.68% (0.023 0.02) 28.76% (-0.233 -0.23)
Both teams to score 62.99% (-0.263 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.52% (-0.269 -0.27)37.48% (0.276 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.3% (-0.29 -0.29)59.7% (0.296 0.3)
Manchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.22% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)15.78% (0.028 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.09% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)44.91% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.79% (-0.288 -0.29)25.21% (0.295 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.05% (-0.401 -0.4)59.95% (0.408 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Manchester United 48.56%
    Chelsea 28.76%
    Draw 22.68%
Manchester UnitedDrawChelsea
2-1 @ 9.34% (0.029 0.03)
1-0 @ 7.34% (0.091 0.09)
2-0 @ 6.78% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
3-1 @ 5.75% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.17% (0.044 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.96% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.66% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-0 @ 1.93% (0.019 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.83% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 48.56%
1-1 @ 10.12% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.44% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.98% (0.053 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.82% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 22.68%
1-2 @ 6.97% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-1 @ 5.48% (0.027 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.78% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.2% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.96% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.73% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.1% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.02% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 28.76%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Newcastle 1-0 Man Utd
Saturday, December 2 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Galatasaray 3-3 Man Utd
Wednesday, November 29 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Everton 0-3 Man Utd
Sunday, November 26 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 1-0 Luton
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Copenhagen 4-3 Man Utd
Wednesday, November 8 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Fulham 0-1 Man Utd
Saturday, November 4 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 3-2 Brighton
Sunday, December 3 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 4-1 Chelsea
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 4-4 Man City
Sunday, November 12 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Spurs 1-4 Chelsea
Monday, November 6 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 2-0 Blackburn
Wednesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Chelsea 0-2 Brentford
Saturday, October 28 at 12.30pm in Premier League


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