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Premier League | Gameweek 5
Oct 18, 2020 at 2pm UK
Selhurst Park
BL

Crystal Palace
1 - 1
Brighton

Zaha (19' pen.)
Mitchell (63'), Guaita (76'), McArthur (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mac Allister (90')
Ryan (18'), Bissouma (43')
Dunk (90+3')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 39.04%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 32.54% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.99%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 1-0 (10.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result
Crystal PalaceDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
32.54%28.42%39.04%
Both teams to score 46.19%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.94%60.06%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.71%80.28%
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.89%34.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.2%70.79%
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.09%29.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.99%66%
Score Analysis
    Crystal Palace 32.54%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 39.04%
    Draw 28.4%
Crystal PalaceDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
1-0 @ 10.97%
2-1 @ 7.12%
2-0 @ 5.9%
3-1 @ 2.55%
3-0 @ 2.12%
3-2 @ 1.54%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 32.54%
1-1 @ 13.24%
0-0 @ 10.19%
2-2 @ 4.3%
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 28.4%
0-1 @ 12.31%
1-2 @ 7.99%
0-2 @ 7.43%
1-3 @ 3.22%
0-3 @ 2.99%
2-3 @ 1.73%
1-4 @ 0.97%
0-4 @ 0.9%
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 39.04%


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