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Premier League | Gameweek 34
Apr 23, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Emirates Stadium
MU

Arsenal
3 - 1
Man Utd

Tavares (3'), Saka (32' pen.), Xhaka (70')
Xhaka (67'), Tavares (68'), Elneny (80')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Ronaldo (34')
Telles (31'), Fernandes (76'), Lindelof (82'), Ronaldo (90+2')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Arsenal 2-1 Manchester United

The expected return of Ronaldo to the frontline should at least give Man United that extra attacking bite, but as much as the Portuguese loves a goal against the Gunners, it remains to be seen if he is in the right headspace to play. If Arsenal's new-look side can produce similar levels of incisiveness that they did against Chelsea, Man United's dodgy backline could be in for a rough ride against Arteta's side, and we can only envisage the Gunners effectively ending the Red Devils' top-four hopes while giving theirs a major boost. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 54.3%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 23.49% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.58%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 1-2 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result
ArsenalDrawManchester United
54.3%22.21%23.49%
Both teams to score 59.34%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.02%39.98%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.66%62.34%
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.28%14.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.08%42.91%
Manchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.58%30.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.38%66.62%
Score Analysis
    Arsenal 54.3%
    Manchester United 23.49%
    Draw 22.2%
ArsenalDrawManchester United
2-1 @ 9.78%
1-0 @ 8.58%
2-0 @ 8.22%
3-1 @ 6.25%
3-0 @ 5.25%
3-2 @ 3.72%
4-1 @ 2.99%
4-0 @ 2.52%
4-2 @ 1.78%
5-1 @ 1.15%
5-0 @ 0.96%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 54.3%
1-1 @ 10.2%
2-2 @ 5.82%
0-0 @ 4.48%
3-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.2%
1-2 @ 6.08%
0-1 @ 5.33%
0-2 @ 3.17%
1-3 @ 2.41%
2-3 @ 2.31%
0-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 23.49%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Chelsea 2-4 Arsenal
Wednesday, April 20 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Last Game: Southampton 1-0 Arsenal
Saturday, April 16 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 1-2 Brighton
Saturday, April 9 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Crystal Palace 3-0 Arsenal
Monday, April 4 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 0-1 Arsenal
Saturday, March 19 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 0-2 Liverpool
Wednesday, March 16 at 8.15pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 4-0 Man Utd
Tuesday, April 19 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 3-2 Norwich
Saturday, April 16 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Everton 1-0 Man Utd
Saturday, April 9 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 1-1 Leicester
Saturday, April 2 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 0-1 Atletico
Tuesday, March 15 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Man Utd 3-2 Spurs
Saturday, March 12 at 5.30pm in Premier League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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