SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Tottenham Hotspur | 38 | 29 | 71 |
| 5 | Arsenal | 38 | 13 | 69 |
| 6 | Manchester United | 38 | 0 | 58 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Arsenal | 38 | 13 | 69 |
| 6 | Manchester United | 38 | 0 | 58 |
| 7 | West Ham United | 38 | 9 | 56 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 54.3%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 23.49% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.58%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 1-2 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal | Draw | Manchester United |
| 54.3% | 22.21% | 23.49% |
| Both teams to score 59.34% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.02% | 39.98% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.66% | 62.34% |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.28% | 14.72% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 57.08% | 42.91% |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.58% | 30.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.38% | 66.62% |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal | Draw | Manchester United |
| 2-1 @ 9.78% 1-0 @ 8.58% 2-0 @ 8.22% 3-1 @ 6.25% 3-0 @ 5.25% 3-2 @ 3.72% 4-1 @ 2.99% 4-0 @ 2.52% 4-2 @ 1.78% 5-1 @ 1.15% 5-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.11% Total : 54.3% | 1-1 @ 10.2% 2-2 @ 5.82% 0-0 @ 4.48% 3-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.2% | 1-2 @ 6.08% 0-1 @ 5.33% 0-2 @ 3.17% 1-3 @ 2.41% 2-3 @ 2.31% 0-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.94% Total : 23.49% |
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