Winning games on the road has been a sticky point for Palace all season long, and their tag of resident draw specialists could certainly ring true in a fixture where the spoils are often shared. It is difficult to back Southampton with any real confidence either given their mixed bag of results and devastating injury to Livramento, so we can only predict another stalemate between the two sides here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 36.77%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 36.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 0-1 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Southampton	Draw	Crystal Palace
36.77%	26.64%	36.58%

Both teams to score 52.08%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.1%

52.9%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.49%

74.51%

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.22%

27.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.64%

63.36%

Crystal Palace Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.11%

27.88%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.5%

63.5%

Score Analysis

Southampton 36.77%

Crystal Palace 36.58%

Draw 26.64%

Southampton	Draw	Crystal Palace
1-0 @ 9.92% 2-1 @ 8.12% 2-0 @ 6.36% 3-1 @ 3.47% 3-0 @ 2.71% 3-2 @ 2.21% 4-1 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.88% Total : 36.77%	1-1 @ 12.67% 0-0 @ 7.74% 2-2 @ 5.18% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.64%	0-1 @ 9.89% 1-2 @ 8.09% 0-2 @ 6.32% 1-3 @ 3.44% 0-3 @ 2.69% 2-3 @ 2.21% 1-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.85% Total : 36.58%