After their FA Cup disappointment, Palace will be especially eager to end what has been an encouraging season on a high. However, Newcastle are a different beast at St James' Park, and we are expecting the Magpies to outlast the Eagles with victory by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 41.94%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 30.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 0-1 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Newcastle United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Newcastle United.

Result
Newcastle United	Draw	Crystal Palace
41.94%	27.51%	30.55%

Both teams to score 48.14%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.69%

57.31%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.85%

78.15%

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.04%

26.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.7%

62.3%

Crystal Palace Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.91%

34.09%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.22%

70.78%

Score Analysis

Newcastle United 41.93%

Crystal Palace 30.55%

Draw 27.51%

Newcastle United	Draw	Crystal Palace
1-0 @ 12.04% 2-1 @ 8.5% 2-0 @ 7.9% 3-1 @ 3.71% 3-0 @ 3.45% 3-2 @ 2% 4-1 @ 1.22% 4-0 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.99% Total : 41.93%	1-1 @ 12.96% 0-0 @ 9.19% 2-2 @ 4.57% Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.51%	0-1 @ 9.89% 1-2 @ 6.98% 0-2 @ 5.32% 1-3 @ 2.5% 0-3 @ 1.91% 2-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.31% Total : 30.55%