Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 61.87%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 17.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.43%) and 0-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 2-1 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
-0.26) 
0.28) 
