SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 61.87%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 17.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.43%) and 0-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 2-1 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crystal Palace | Draw | Manchester City |
17.89% ( -0.26) | 20.23% ( -0.02) | 61.87% ( 0.28) |
| Both teams to score 57.23% ( -0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.41% ( -0.35) | 38.59% ( 0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.11% ( -0.37) | 60.89% ( 0.38) |
| Crystal Palace Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.03% ( -0.5) | 34.97% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.28% ( -0.53) | 71.71% ( 0.53) |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88% ( -0.03) | 12% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.57% ( -0.06) | 37.43% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crystal Palace | Draw | Manchester City |
| 2-1 @ 4.91% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 2.32% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.72% Total : 17.89% | 1-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.2% Total : 20.23% | 1-2 @ 9.91% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 9.43% ( 0.14)0-1 @ 8.9% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 7.01% ( -0)0-3 @ 6.67% ( 0.09)1-4 @ 3.71% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.68% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 3.54% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.95% ( -0.03)1-5 @ 1.58% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.5% ( 0.02)Other @ 4.01% Total : 61.87% |
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