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Europa League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 11, 2024 at 8pm UK
BayArena
WH

B. Leverkusen
2 - 0
West Ham

Hofmann (83'), Boniface (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Paqueta (21'), Palmieri (56')

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 74.48%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for West Ham United had a probability of 10.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-0 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 3-0 (8.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.34%), while for a West Ham United win it was 1-2 (3.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Bayer Leverkusen in this match.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawWest Ham United
74.48% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 14.65% (-0.0039999999999996 -0) 10.87% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Both teams to score 59.28% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.8% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)27.2% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.26% (0.014000000000003 0.01)47.74% (-0.012 -0.01)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.8% (0.0040000000000049 0)6.19% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.57% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)23.43% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
West Ham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.2%36.8% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.41%73.59% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 74.48%
    West Ham United 10.87%
    Draw 14.65%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawWest Ham United
2-0 @ 8.82% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-1 @ 8.82% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 8.18%
3-1 @ 8.17%
1-0 @ 6.34% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 5.69% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-1 @ 5.68% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 4.09%
5-0 @ 3.16% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-1 @ 3.16% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 2.84% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-2 @ 1.58%
6-0 @ 1.47% (0.00099999999999989 0)
6-1 @ 1.47% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-3 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 4.07%
Total : 74.48%
1-1 @ 6.34% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 4.41% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 2.28% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 14.65%
1-2 @ 3.17% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-1 @ 2.28% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.47% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 1.14% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 10.87%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Union Berlin 0-1 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, April 6 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 4-0 Dusseldorf
Wednesday, April 3 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-1 Hoffenheim
Saturday, March 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 2-3 B. Leverkusen
Sunday, March 17 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 3-2 Qarabag
Thursday, March 14 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-0 Wolfsburg
Sunday, March 10 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolves 1-2 West Ham
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: West Ham 1-1 Spurs
Tuesday, April 2 at 8.15pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 4-3 West Ham
Saturday, March 30 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: West Ham 1-1 Aston Villa
Sunday, March 17 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: West Ham 5-0 Freiburg
Thursday, March 14 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: West Ham 2-2 Burnley
Sunday, March 10 at 2pm in Premier League


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