Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 63.98%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 17.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.79%) and 1-0 (7.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.48%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 1-2 (4.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.
Result | ||
Tottenham Hotspur | Draw | Crystal Palace |
63.98% ( -0.02) | 18.97% ( 0.01) | 17.05% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 60.11% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.95% ( -0.02) | 34.05% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.08% ( -0.02) | 55.92% ( 0.02) |
Tottenham Hotspur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.88% ( -0.01) | 10.11% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.71% ( -0.02) | 33.28% ( 0.02) |
Crystal Palace Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.87% ( 0) | 33.12% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.27% ( 0) | 69.72% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Tottenham Hotspur | Draw | Crystal Palace |
2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.79% 1-0 @ 7.68% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.42% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.72% ( -0) 4-1 @ 4.25% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.1% 4-0 @ 3.85% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.35% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.95% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.76% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 4.32% Total : 63.98% | 1-1 @ 8.48% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.35% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 0.27% Total : 18.97% | 1-2 @ 4.69% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.7% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.05% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.73% ( 0) Other @ 2.91% Total : 17.05% |
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