Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 53.67%. A win for Rapid Vienna had a probability of 25.67% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.57%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Rapid Vienna win was 1-2 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.49%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.