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Europa League | Group Stage
Dec 3, 2020 at 8pm UK
Emirates Stadium

Arsenal
4 - 1
Rapid Vienna

Lacazette (10'), Mari (18'), Nketiah (44'), Smith Rowe (66')
Elneny (42'), Mustafi (61')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Kitagawa (47')
Ullmann (39'), Sonnleitner (79')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 53.67%. A win for Rapid Vienna had a probability of 25.67% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.57%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Rapid Vienna win was 1-2 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.49%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result
ArsenalDrawRapid Vienna
53.67%20.67%25.67%
Both teams to score 67.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.84%30.16%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.61%51.38%
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.41%11.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.43%36.56%
Rapid Vienna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.57%23.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.57%57.43%
Score Analysis
    Arsenal 53.67%
    Rapid Vienna 25.67%
    Draw 20.67%
ArsenalDrawRapid Vienna
2-1 @ 9.15%
3-1 @ 6.57%
2-0 @ 6.31%
1-0 @ 5.85%
3-2 @ 4.77%
3-0 @ 4.53%
4-1 @ 3.54%
4-2 @ 2.57%
4-0 @ 2.44%
5-1 @ 1.53%
4-3 @ 1.24%
5-2 @ 1.11%
5-0 @ 1.05%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 53.67%
1-1 @ 8.49%
2-2 @ 6.64%
0-0 @ 2.72%
3-3 @ 2.31%
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 20.67%
1-2 @ 6.16%
0-1 @ 3.94%
2-3 @ 3.21%
1-3 @ 2.98%
0-2 @ 2.86%
0-3 @ 1.38%
2-4 @ 1.17%
1-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 25.67%

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