SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 33.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 1-2 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Everton | Draw | Leicester City |
41.53% ( 0.03) | 24.79% ( 0.01) | 33.69% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 57.98% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.86% ( -0.05) | 45.14% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.51% ( -0.05) | 67.49% ( 0.05) |
| Everton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.25% ( -0.01) | 21.75% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.08% ( -0.01) | 54.93% ( 0.01) |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.09% ( -0.05) | 25.91% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.1% ( -0.07) | 60.9% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Everton | Draw | Leicester City |
| 2-1 @ 8.86% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.6% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.5% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.72% 4-0 @ 1.27% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 2.49% Total : 41.53% | 1-1 @ 11.61% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.79% | 1-2 @ 7.84% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.61% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.14% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.53% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.31% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.19% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 2.46% Total : 33.69% |
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