SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 61.75%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Everton had a probability of 16.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for a Everton win it was 0-1 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Newcastle United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Newcastle United.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United | Draw | Everton |
61.75% ( 0.2) | 21.31% ( -0.07) | 16.94% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 51.52% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.83% ( 0.09) | 45.17% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.48% ( 0.08) | 67.52% ( -0.08) |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.91% ( 0.09) | 14.09% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.29% ( 0.18) | 41.71% ( -0.18) |
| Everton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.97% ( -0.11) | 40.03% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.32% ( -0.1) | 76.68% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle United | Draw | Everton |
| 1-0 @ 11.05% 2-0 @ 10.83% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 6.48% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 3.47% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 3.17% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.97% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.74% Total : 61.75% | 1-1 @ 10.12% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.64% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.31% | 0-1 @ 5.17% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.98% Total : 16.94% |
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