SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 61.38%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Leicester City had a probability of 17.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.75%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for a Leicester City win it was 1-0 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Manchester City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Manchester City.
| Result | ||
| Leicester City | Draw | Manchester City |
17.19% ( 0.01) | 21.43% ( 0.01) | 61.38% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 51.67% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.76% ( -0.02) | 45.24% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.42% ( -0.02) | 67.58% ( 0.02) |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.24% ( 0) | 39.76% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.57% ( 0) | 76.43% ( 0) |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.77% ( -0.01) | 14.23% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.03% ( -0.02) | 41.97% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leicester City | Draw | Manchester City |
| 1-0 @ 5.22% ( 0) 2-1 @ 4.69% ( 0)2-0 @ 2.41% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.44% 3-2 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.03% Total : 17.19% | 1-1 @ 10.17% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.66% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.58% 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.43% | 0-1 @ 11.03% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 10.75% 1-2 @ 9.92% 0-3 @ 6.99% ( -0)1-3 @ 6.45% ( -0)0-4 @ 3.41% ( -0)1-4 @ 3.14% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.97% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.45% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.33% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.23% ( -0)Other @ 2.71% Total : 61.38% |
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