SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 50.62%. A win for Everton had a probability of 25.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.77%). The likeliest Everton win was 1-0 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Everton | Draw | Manchester United |
25.03% ( 0.21) | 24.35% ( 0.08) | 50.62% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 53.9% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.01% ( -0.14) | 47.99% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.84% ( -0.13) | 70.16% ( 0.13) |
| Everton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.53% ( 0.1) | 33.47% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.89% ( 0.11) | 70.11% ( -0.11) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.02% ( -0.17) | 18.97% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.49% ( -0.28) | 50.51% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Everton | Draw | Manchester United |
| 1-0 @ 6.95% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 6.32% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 2.31% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.92% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.35% Total : 25.03% | 1-1 @ 11.55% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.25% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.35% | 0-1 @ 10.55% 1-2 @ 9.6% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 8.77% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 5.32% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 4.86% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.21% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 2.02% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.16% Total : 50.61% |
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